Apple Carbohydrate Thinning Model for Biglerville, Piney Mtn, and York Springs.
Biglerville
Green tip: March16, 2020
Full bloom: April 27, 2020
| Date | Max Temp (°F) | Min Temp (°F) | Solar Rad (MJ/m2) | Production | Demand | Balance | 4-Day Avg Balance | Thinning Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-May | 83 | 56 | 27.30 | 111.63 | 100.33 | 11.30 | -30.75 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 15% |
| 27-May | 77 | 60 | 13.90 | 70.31 | 93.40 | -23.08 | -24.90 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 15% |
| 28-May | 81 | 65 | 9.70 | 44.54 | 102.59 | -58.06 | -3.37 | Apply standard chemical thinner rate |
| 29-May | 84 | 70 | 14.40 | 61.00 | 114.15 | -53.15 | 26.12 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 30-May | 77 | 51 | 24.10 | 114.61 | 79.92 | 34.69 | 48.99 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 31-May | 68 | 46 | 26.20 | 125.32 | 62.29 | 63.04 | 41.06 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 1-Jun | 69 | 48 | 26.20 | 125.66 | 65.75 | 59.91 | 25.42 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 2-Jun | 74 | 51 | 22.40 | 113.60 | 75.27 | 38.32 | - | |
| 3-Jun | 78 | 57 | 16.80 | 90.05 | 87.07 | 2.98 | - | |
| 4-Jun | 80 | 63 | 19.80 | 97.21 | 96.75 | 0.46 |
Piney Mountain
Green tip: March 21, 2020
Full bloom: May 2, 2020
| Date | Max Temp (°F) | Min Temp (°F) | Solar Rad (MJ/m2) | Production | Demand | Balance | 4-Day Avg Balance | Thinning Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-May | 79 | 54 | 25.30 | 102.87 | 126.97 | -24.10 | -58.64 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 27-May | 74 | 60 | 12.40 | 60.81 | 119.47 | -58.66 | -44.55 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 28-May | 78 | 66 | 10.60 | 47.07 | 129.41 | -82.33 | -13.85 | Apply standard chemical thinner rate |
| 29-May | 81 | 67 | 12.50 | 53.89 | 123.36 | -69.47 | 21.83 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 30-May | 74 | 49 | 24.10 | 112.47 | 80.22 | 32.24 | 49.44 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 31-May | 64 | 44 | 26.30 | 121.49 | 57.33 | 64.16 | 42.94 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 1-Jun | 66 | 46 | 26.20 | 121.76 | 61.38 | 60.38 | 29.06 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 2-Jun | 71 | 49 | 22.40 | 110.88 | 69.89 | 40.99 | ||
| 3-Jun | 75 | 55 | 16.80 | 88.56 | 82.32 | 6.23 | ||
| 4-Jun | 77 | 59 | 20.10 | 98.25 | 89.60 | 8.65 |
York Springs
Green tip: March 15, 2020
Full bloom: April 29, 2020
| Date | Max Temp (°F) | Min Temp (°F) | Solar Rad (MJ/m2) | Production | Demand | Balance | 4-Day Avg Balance | Thinning Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-May | 84 | 56 | 27.90 | 112.90 | 103.58 | 9.31 | -28.21 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 15% |
| 27-May | 78 | 59 | 15.20 | 76.95 | 94.93 | -17.98 | -21.47 | Decrease chemical thinner rate by 15% |
| 28-May | 81 | 64 | 10.00 | 48.78 | 100.01 | -51.23 | -1.02 | Apply standard chemical thinner rate |
| 29-May | 84 | 70 | 13.10 | 58.37 | 111.32 | -52.95 | 27.32 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 30-May | 77 | 52 | 24.10 | 115.81 | 79.55 | 36.26 | 50.95 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 31-May | 68 | 47 | 26.20 | 126.31 | 62.49 | 63.83 | 43.15 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 1-Jun | 69 | 48 | 26.10 | 126.75 | 64.62 | 62.12 | 27.56 | Increase chemical thinner rate by 30% |
| 2-Jun | 73 | 51 | 22.40 | 115.40 | 73.81 | 41.58 | ||
| 3-Jun | 78 | 56 | 16.60 | 91.88 | 86.80 | 5.07 | ||
| 4-Jun | 80 | 64 | 20.70 | 101.89 | 100.43 | 1.46 |
Note: Date printed in boldface is the date the model was run and is based on expected temperatures for that specific date and location.
